The NFL Week 6 kicks off with a divisional showdown between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs are looking to bounce back from a shocking loss to the Buffalo Bills, while the Broncos are hoping to snap a 15-game losing streak against their AFC West rivals. Here are some of the best bets for this game, including spread picks, player props, and a parlay option.

Chiefs -10.5 vs. Broncos

The Chiefs are favored by 10.5 points over the Broncos, which may seem like a lot for a road team on a short week. However, the Chiefs have dominated this matchup in recent years, winning by an average of 16.8 points per game in their last 15 meetings. The Chiefs also have a potent offense led by Patrick Mahomes, who has thrown for 1,687 yards and 16 touchdowns in five games this season. The Broncos, on the other hand, have struggled to score points, averaging only 17.4 points per game, which ranks 28th in the league. The Broncos also have a porous defense that ranks last in DVOA and has allowed 70 points to the Dolphins and 59 points to the Bears and Jets in their last three games. The Chiefs should be able to exploit the Broncos’ weaknesses and cover the spread with ease.

Broncos vs. Chiefs: How to Bet on Thursday Night Football
Broncos vs. Chiefs: How to Bet on Thursday Night Football

Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns

One of the player props that stands out for this game is Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns at -115 odds (DraftKings). Mahomes has been a touchdown machine this season, throwing at least three touchdowns in four of his five games. He also has a history of torching the Broncos, throwing for 15 touchdowns and zero interceptions in six career games against them. The Broncos have allowed 13 passing touchdowns this season, which is tied for the third-most in the league. Mahomes should have no problem finding his favorite targets, such as Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, in the end zone and surpassing this prop.

Russell Wilson Over 24.5 Rushing Yards

Another player prop that looks appealing is Russell Wilson over 24.5 rushing yards at -115 odds (DraftKings). Wilson is known for his scrambling ability and has rushed for at least 25 yards in three of his five games this season. He also has a favorable matchup against the Chiefs, who have allowed the most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season with 217. The Chiefs also have a pass rush that can pressure Wilson and force him to use his legs to escape. Wilson should be able to find some running lanes and go over this prop.

Parlay: Chiefs -10.5 and Under 47

A parlay option that could pay off is combining the Chiefs -10.5 and the under 47 points at +264 odds (DraftKings). As mentioned earlier, the Chiefs have a clear edge over the Broncos in this game and should be able to cover the double-digit spread. The under also makes sense, as both teams tend to play at a slower pace and run more clock when they have the lead. The primetime games have also been trending under this season, with a 60% hit rate in the last four years. The weather could also play a factor, as there are strong winds expected at Empower Field at Mile High on Thursday night. The combination of these factors could lead to a low-scoring game that favors the Chiefs and the under.


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